Interview: The feasibility of citizen’s income

Interview: The feasibility of citizen’s income

After many years writing scholarship on the citizen’s income (or basic income), Malcolm Torry was constantly asked about the feasibility of the policy. A new book by Torry, The Feasibility of Citizen’s Incomeseeks to answer this question.

Below is an interview with Torry on he came to write the new book and some of the conclusions he made in his research.

What prompted you to write this book?

It was about two years ago that the Citizen’s Income debate started to become seriously mainstream. I had already published Money for Everyone: Why we need a Citizen’s Income (Policy Press, 2013), a general introduction to the subject. Although the book was designed to be accessible to the general reader, a number of people had said to me that something shorter and cheaper would be useful so I wrote 101 Reasons for a Citizen’s Income (Policy Press, 2015). Both of these books were designed to show that Citizen’s Income is a good idea. They might or might not have contributed to the increase in interest in Citizen’s Income among think tanks, political parties, and the press. (Both international developments and increasing concern about the future of the employment market were probably more significant causes.) I had frequently been asked questions about the feasibility of Citizen’s Income. At both BIEN and Social Policy Association conferences I had presented papers about feasibility that built on articles about political feasibility by Jurgen De Wispelaere and his colleagues; and then, following a presentation for Cambridge economists on different kinds of feasibility, Karl Widerquist, who was the other presenter at the seminar, asked me if I would turn my presentation into a book for the Palgrave Macmillan series that he edits. Some of us had already noticed that the Citizen’s Income debate was becoming at least as much about feasibility as it was about desirability, so I agreed to Karl’s proposal.

What was the most surprising and/or interesting element you discovered while researching for this book?

A combination of related elements: that the policy process (the process by which an idea finds its way to implementation through a variety of interconnected institutions) is extremely diverse; that understandings of it are equally diverse; and that ideas can sometimes achieve implementation without passing through what we might call a normal policy process: that is, that policy accidents can occur. The book therefore contains chapters on political feasibility and on policy process feasibility, as well as a final chapter, ‘From feasibility to implementation’, in which policy accidents are discussed.

Which aspect will be most challenging to overcome in achieving a citizen’s income: political or psychological barriers? Why?

It became clearer to me as I researched and wrote the book that political feasibility relies heavily on psychological feasibility. Only if a significant proportion of a population are convinced of the case for a policy change, and significant proportions of particular groups within populations (journalists, academics, policy-makers, etc.) are convinced of the case, is there any chance of political feasibility. Psychological feasibility therefore precedes political feasibility – except when political accidents occur, and even then potential psychological feasibility is required. Psychological feasibility will not be easy to achieve because in the UK we have been means-testing benefits for four hundred years, and it takes a significant paradigm shift to recognise that in the presence of a progressive income tax an unconditional payment can do the same job as means-tested benefits and can do it a lot more efficiently and without all of the side-effects of means-testing. Given the further popular ‘deserving/undeserving’ mindset, building psychological feasibility for a Citizen’s Income for everyone is going to be difficult. However, building psychological feasibility for such ‘deserving’ groups as elderly people, the pre-retired, children, and young people, would not be so hard: so a feasible implementation method might be to implement Citizen’s Income one age group at a time, beginning with those thought most deserving. This would eventually build the psychological feasibility required for a Citizen’s Income for working age adults.

Is a citizen’s income feasible just using current revenue? If so, would this be the most desirable way to implement basic income?

A Citizen’s Income certainly is feasible just using current revenue if income tax allowances (‘standard deduction’ in the USA; ‘Personal Allowance’ in the UK) are adjusted appropriately, and Income Tax rates and other aspects of a tax and benefits system are adjusted appropriately. We have shown that in the UK a Citizen’s Income of £60 per week for working age adults (less for children and young adults; more for elderly people) would require no additional public expenditure if Income Tax Personal Allowances were reduced to zero, Income Tax rates were raised by just 3%, and National Insurance Contributions (social insurance contributions) and means-tested benefits were adjusted appropriately.

Whether this would be the most desirable way to implement a Citizen’s Income scheme is of course debatable: but it would probably be the most feasible way to begin implementation.

What would the most significant effect of the citizen’s income be on households?

What would be the most significant effect must be a matter of personal opinion, because different households have different priorities: but among significant effects would be greater freedom to choose an employment pattern that worked for all of the members of the household; lower marginal deduction rates for all or many households, meaning that an increase in earned income would translate into a higher additional net income than under current means-tested benefits systems; and freedom from bureaucratic intrusion into the household’s relationships and circumstances.

What is the empirical evidence that universal programs are superior to means tested ones?

To decide whether one system is superior to another requires a list of criteria for a good benefits system, and then different systems need to be evaluated against those criteria. The book Money for Everyone contains a full discussion of the criteria for a good benefits system, discusses the ways in which the criteria are met or not met by different systems, and concludes that a universalist system meets the criteria more thoroughly than a means-tested one. The Feasibility of Citizen’s Income does not ask directly about the desirability of Citizen’s Income, but rather seeks evidence for Citizen’s Income’s ability to pass a variety of feasibility tests (although of course feasibility is required for desirability, and desirability for feasibility). Evidence is drawn from natural and constructed experiments, microsimulation results, and other empirical research.

What is the most desirable aspect of a citizen’s income? What is the main reason you support basic income?

Again, what is the most desirable aspect of Citizen’s Income will be a matter of opinion. Since we all have different preferences, the question then comes down to the second question asked: What is the main reason that I support Citizen’s Income? There is no main reason; there are lots of reasons: unconditionality; universality; lower marginal deduction rates; greater individual freedom; greater equality; decreased poverty; enhanced social cohesion; administrative simplicity; the absence of stigma, error, fraud, and bureaucratic interference in the lives of individuals and households.

What brought you to the citizen’s income movement?

From 1976 to 1978 I worked in the Department of Health and Social Security’s Supplementary Benefit office in Brixton in South London, administering means-tested benefits. We all knew how bad the system was, both for claimants and for the staff. The benefit that we and the claimants loved was universal Child Benefit, for its simplicity, its reliability, and the way that it reduced poverty, increased equality, and created social cohesion. Why shouldn’t the same principles and the same results be transferred to benefits for working age adults?

I was ordained, and served my first post in the Church of England’s ministry at the Elephant and Castle: the parish in South London in which the headquarters of the DHSS was located. I got to know people in the offices, and was invited to the department’s summer school. There I found the idea of a Basic or Citizen’s Income being seriously discussed. I was invited to join a group of individuals from a variety of backgrounds interested in the idea – the Basic Income Research Group, now the Citizen’s Income Trust – and have participated in its work ever since.

The motive has always been the same: to research the desirability and feasibility of an unconditional income for every individual as a right of citizenship. My new book concludes that Citizen’s Income’s implementation is feasible.

VIDEO: Robert Reich on Basic Income

VIDEO: Robert Reich on Basic Income

Former US Secretary of Labor Robert B. Reich (now Chancellor’s Professor of Public Policy at University of California, Berkeley) has produced a short video on basic income.

In the video, Reich argues that a universal basic income is a solution to job loss and inequality caused by developments in technology and automation.

YouTube player

The video was made in collaboration with the charity GiveDirectly.

 

This is not the first time that Reich has spoken out in favor of a basic income, especially in response to technological unemployment.

For example, he spoke on the “inevitability of basic income” last May at the Future of Work conference in Zurich, Switzerland:

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For links and discussion of earlier remarks from Reich about UBI, see:

Karl Widerquist (September 5, 2015) “Former Labor Secretary Robert Reich focuses attention on Basic IncomeBasic Income News.

For a recent critical response to Reich’s recent video, written from the perspective of a right-wing UBI supporter, see:

Tim Worstall (October 1, 2016) “Robert Reich Sure Doesn’t Understand Economics – iEverything And The Universal Basic IncomeForbes.


Inequality Media, “Universal Basic Income“, YouTube; published on September 29, 2016.

Photo CC BY 2.0 HarvardEthics

FRANCE: Basic Income session at World Forum for a Responsible Economy (Oct 10)

FRANCE: Basic Income session at World Forum for a Responsible Economy (Oct 10)

The 10th annual World Forum for a Responsible Economy will be held in France from October 10 through 14. Events will be held in a different city on each consecutive day, beginning in Lille and ending in Paris. Overall, the conference features approximately 100 speakers, and is expected to draw over 5000 attendees.

The theme of this year’s World Forum for a Responsible Economy is “Envisioning the economy of the future”. In keeping with this theme, one session–held on Monday, October 10 in Lille–will focus on basic income:

The ideal of offering all people with a job that provides them with an income satisfying their basic needs is becoming a mere dream. Additionally, people are increasingly given redundant and shedding jobs. Offering people an unconditional basic income, so that they do not have to worry about mere survival, can unleash untapped potential and new opportunities. But it also comes at a cost. In this session, a number of pioneers who are involved in basic income experiments will share their experiences, fears and hopes for the future.

Speakers include Sarath Davala (sociologist and founder of the BIEN affiliate India Network for Basic Income), Michael Bohmeyer (entrepreneur and founder of the non-profit Mein Grundeinkommen), and Olli Kangas (researcher at Kela, the Social Insurance Institution of Finland, which is currently planning the country’s basic income experiment).

Dean Rossouw of the Ethics Institute of South Africa will moderate the discussion.

For more information, see the website of the World Forum for a Responsible Economy and, specifically, its description of the session “Basic Income Grant: liberating or limiting human potential?


Reviewed by Genevieve Shanahan 

Image from Place Mitterand, Lille, France CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 todaysart

Report: “Pilot Lessons: How to design a basic income pilot project for Ontario”

Report: “Pilot Lessons: How to design a basic income pilot project for Ontario”

The Government of Ontario plans to move forward with a pilot study of a basic income guarantee, to begin by April 2017.

On September 20, four researchers — Evelyn L. Forget (Professor of Economics at the University of Manitoba), Dylan Marando (PhD Student at the University of Toronto), Tonya Surman (founding CEO of the Centre for Social Innovation), and Michael Crawford Urban (Policy Associate at the Mowat Centre) — released a report called “Pilot Lessons: How to design a basic income pilot project for Ontario”. “Pilot Lessons” offers recommendations to the Ontario government on the basis of previous trials of basic income guarantee programs. It also calls for a greater focus on the impact of a guaranteed income on innovation and entrepreneurship.

The report begins by glossing the meaning of the term ‘basic income’ as it is used by the authors (“basic income is best conceptualized as a policy whereby a government guarantees, to all of its citizens, a regular predictable income sufficient to live a basic but dignified life”), distinguishing between the “demogrant” and “negative income tax” models.

The authors go on to overview past experiments on basic income, especially those conducted in the United States and Canada during the 1970s.

Based on this review of past experience, they identify four lessons:

1. Vary the parameters (e.g. eligibility conditions, amount of income guarantee, tax-back rates), but don’t vary them too much.

2. Communicate the results of experiments through scientific, not political, channels. The authors state that “science and politics don’t mix well”. For example, they point to the politically-driven promulgation of the alleged correlation between receipt of a basic income and increased divorce rates following the United States experiments in the 1970s. This contributed to the deterioration of interest in the policy, especially among Republicans.

3. Don’t overlook indirect benefits of basic income that might be observed in experiments. For example, the authors note Evelyn Forget’s investigation of Manitoba’s “Mincome” experiment: Forget demonstrated that the basic income guarantee in Dauphine corresponded to lower hospitalization rates and increased high school graduation rates.

4. Don’t assume that a decline in the time spent in paid employment implies a decline in the time spent in socially valuable work (e.g. consider whether the time is spent instead in childcare, continued education, volunteer work, etc).

In the next chapter, the authors describe major changes in the labor market that pose important differences between the present context and that of the past experiments, such as the increase in precarious labor and rise of automation. They also argue that, by decreasing the risk associated with leaving a job or starting a business, a basic income could facilitate entrepreneurship and innovation.

The report concludes with 14 recommendations for the design of a pilot study.

The full report is available for download.


Reviewed by Dawn Howard

Photo: Vancouver Science World CC BY 2.0 Franco Ng

VIDEO: David Pakman Show “Finland’s ‘Basic Income’ Test is Set Up to Fail”

VIDEO: David Pakman Show “Finland’s ‘Basic Income’ Test is Set Up to Fail”

The David Pakman Show — a progressive news and politics talk show based in the United States — has broadcast several segments on basic income, such as an announcement of Finland’s plans to test the policy and an interview with BIEN’s Jason Burke Murphy. Pakman himself is attracted to the idea of a basic income.

David Pakman’s latest video on the topic, published on September 1, is a critique of the latest plans for a Finnish basic income experiment, which Pakman says is “set up to fail” and a “bogus way” to test basic income:

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In his criticism, Pakman focuses on the fact that Finland plans only to test the effect of the basic income on individuals who are already receiving unemployment benefits, rather than considering a representative sample of the population. He also identifies a tension between the main objective of the Finnish experiment — that is, to test whether a basic income can promote participation in traditional jobs — and the major theoretical justification of basic income as a way to adapt to changes in the nature of jobs and work.

Pakman is not alone in raising criticisms and concerns with the design and scope of Finland’s basic income experiment. See, for example, Toru Yamamori’s interviews with several experts on the experiments and members of the Finnish Green Party. Other critical responses — such as those of Leonid Bershidsky and Basic Income News editor-in-chief André Coelho have focused on the fact that the experiment is to test only a “partial” basic income.


Reviewed by Dawn Howard

Cover image CC BY-SA 2.0 Lauri Heikkinen