Thomas H. Davenport and Julia Kirby, the authors of Only Humans Need Apply, favor a job guarantee (JG) over a universal basic income (UBI). In a previous post, I critiqued their use of the claim that people who lack jobs tend to be less happy than those who have them (irrespective of income). Of course, we all aim to have successful careers which is often what drives employees in the financial sector to push on and start a firm of their own. Without a doubt, starting my own accounting firm wasn’t easy but I have zero regrets.
In this follow-up post, I take a different tack, and argue that we have reason to support UBI over a JG even if we grant that most people would be happier when employed than when not.
Two points will be key: a UBI does not prevent individuals from working; a UBI, but not a JG, would benefit the minority of individuals who do fare better outside of traditional employment.
1. A Basic Response
In their recently published book Only Humans Need Apply, Tom Davenport and Julia Kirby briefly dismiss a universal basic income (UBI) in favor of a job guarantee (JG).
I laid out their main argument in a previous post on Basic Income News. To recall: Davenport and Kirby’s primary claim is that a JG provides benefits to individuals that exceed those provided by a UBI–specifically, jobs. Central to their argument is the assumption that jobs “bring many benefits to people’s lives beyond the paycheck, among them the social community they provide through having coworkers, the satisfaction of setting and meeting challenging goals, even the predictable structure and rhythm they bring to the week” (p. 7).
In my previous post, I focused on their use of one particular type of data: studies that suggest that unemployed people tend to be less happy than employed people, even after controlling for monetary factors. I will now pursue a slightly different tack. Here I will argue that, even if it is true that jobs improve the happiness of most people, this does not necessarily favor a JG over UBI. (For the purpose of the argument, I will also assume–as do Davenport and Kirby–that sufficient jobs can continue to be created to support full employment, notwithstanding advances in automation.)
These are the crucial observations:
- A UBI does not compel individuals who already have jobs to leave them (obviously); thus, it would not hurt those people who already have jobs and value them. Similarly, a UBI does not prevent those without jobs from taking jobs (while also permitting them more time and flexibility to find, or retrain for, a job that is a good fit to their skills and interests).
- Even if most individuals are disposed to be happiest when employed in a stable, full-time job, there are some individuals who aren’t. Some individuals are disposed to be happiest–as well as most productive–when not traditionally employed. A UBI, but not JG, would allow those in this minority to flourish.
Combined, I believe that these two points provide strong reason to prefer UBI over JG. When we consider individuals who are happily employed, the choice appears to be a draw. Perhaps a JG could provide more security in a cherished job, but a UBI would not necessarily hamper it. Meanwhile, a UBI–but not JG–would immensely help those individuals who would better thrive outside of traditional jobs. (There is one important caveat here, which I will return in Part 3 of this article: a JG is likely to provide the greater benefit to some individuals who would prefer to be employed but are out-of-work.)
If the majority of individuals are happiest in jobs, as Davenport and Kirby assume, then a JG presumably would be for the good of the majority. A UBI, however, would be for the good of the majority and then some. A UBI would not cause anyone to be unemployed. However, a large enough UBI would enable individuals to abstain from employment temporarily or permanently–should they choose to do so. A UBI would support the majority and, unlike a JG, also the minority of individuals who are not happiest in jobs (as well as those who are happiest in jobs but need the flexibility to transition into a better job, as I’ll mention briefly in §3).
2. Liberation from Jobs
Most regular readers of Basic Income News have, no doubt, encountered the argument that basic income necessary to liberate individuals from overtaxing jobs, oppressive jobs, or meaningless “bullshit” jobs. Many, perhaps, were drawn to investigate basic income (as I was) precisely because it opens this possibility. Nonetheless, it’s worth rehearsing some points.
It is not hard to demonstrate that some individuals do not gain meaning, happiness, and self-worth from jobs. And, for the purposes of the above argument, this weak claim is all that is necessary (there’s certainly no need to argue that most individuals are so disposed). Some individuals would be much better able to gain meaning, happiness, and self-worth outside of a job–and, in the process, contribute more to society than they otherwise could.
In my last post, for example, I mentioned entrepreneur Robin Chase’s informal studies of individuals’ “passion jobs”. Recall, for example, the couch-surfing, open-source programmer–an individual who is presumably not interested in monetizing his work, who is motivated just to engage in challenging projects and disseminate his work as widely as possible. (For bigger examples on similar lines, we might look to the communities of creators of Linux and Wikipedia.) Even if he could monetize his work as a programmer, this would only take time away from–and perhaps constrict–the socially valuable work that he is currently performing for no financial reward. But, of course, one must have capital (possibly in the form of friends with couches) in order to devote significant amounts of time to open-source programming or other unpaid work. Many would-be creators and innovators lack such capital, and thus remain trapped in jobs that might well be less valuable–to both themselves and society–than the unpaid work they could (and would) otherwise perform.
Musician Brian Eno supports basic income for quite similar reasons–that it would enable individuals to avoid jobs in order to engage in more creative work–as evident, for example, in remarks made at meet-up in London last December:
I often get asked to come and talk at art schools, and I rarely get asked back, because the first thing I always say is, ‘I’m here to persuade you not to have a job.’ … My first message to people is: try not to get to a job. That doesn’t mean try not to do anything. It means try to leave yourself in a position where you do the things you want to do with your time, and where you take maximal advantage of whatever your possibilities are. The obstacle is that most people aren’t in a position to do that. I want to do anything to work to a future where everybody’s in a position to do that. … [T]he concept [of basic income] is the closest thing I’ve heard to achieving the kind of future that I would like to live in.
Similarly, anthropologist David Graeber, known in part for his trenchant look at the proliferation of “bullshit jobs”, supports basic income as a means to unleash the innovative potential of people who might otherwise wasting their talents in unfulfilling jobs.
This has all seemed perfectly obvious to me: I’m among those who find traditional jobs confining and stifling, and who has no particular interest in monetizing and advertising the work that I do outside of traditional employment–including, of course, my writing and other work for BIEN and Basic Income News. If only could afford it, I would indeed prefer not to have to seek personal monetary gain from my work. And this preference is not limited to my work for the basic income movement. For instance, one of alternative plans has been to do more work as a “curriculum development consultant” for graduate teaching associates and adjunct faculty in my discipline. This would be interesting, challenging, and rewarding for me–as well as a valuable service for others. But, being familiar with the financial plight of most graduate TAs and adjuncts, I am rather appalled by the thought of charging money for any such services.
Prior to my recent personal experiences, my late mother stood out for me as someone who quite clearly found her meaning and purpose outside of paid employment. After spending years feeling stuck low-paying, dead-end service job, she only discovered her “passion job” after she was fired: developing and manufacturing a vegan meat-substitute. Despite the fact that their product was already being sold in restaurants the year before she passed away, my mother and her partner did not envision their invention as a (meatless) cash cow: their vision was that it would eventually provide a low-cost, sustainable solution to end global protein malnutrition. Maybe if they had invested then in restaurant pos systems such as the ones we have now in the market for retail operations, their restaurant business would have flourished even more.
Meanwhile, some people find traditional jobs constricting simply due to the norms and expectations of job culture. A recent blog post on Medium, which focused on neurodiversity, makes this point well:
Most people are unhappy with their jobs, and workplace stress is the biggest cause of workdays lost to ill health. There are many reasons for this, and some of them are directly linked to the reasons so many autistic people struggle to find or hold onto jobs. Noisy environments, interruptions, long work hours and lack of autonomy are stressful for everyone, but often downright intolerable for autistic people. Expectations of conformity hit neurodivergent people especially hard, but they can be stifling or even ruinous for people from other cultures, too, not to mention anyone who doesn’t fit neatly into the gender roles assigned them by society. [Embedded links in original]
Neurodivergent individuals, and others who do not fit neatly in the mold of society, can be stifled and inhibited by traditional work environments. Such individuals are better able to flourish personally–and, in turn, become more valuable contributors to society–if they are able to working outside of traditional jobs, or perhaps take the time to a job that is a better match.
Examples like the above easily could be multiplied, but these will suffice to make the point.
Now, then, what do Davenport and Kirby have to say about such individuals? The answer is not much. They do mention explicitly that proponents of UBI often claim that “the impulse to create value is innate in humans, and if anything is channeled into less socially valuable activities when the point must be to gain payment for one’s work” (p. 242). However, their only reply is quite hastily and uncritically dismissive:
Unfortunately, the data don’t bear that out. As Derek Thompson notes in his provocative Atlantic article “A World Without Work,” time studies suggest that people who don’t work tend to sleep more, watch more TV, and browse the Internet. So much for taking up painting.
There’s no need to say much more in reply to this hasty assertion. Certainly, it is not difficult to compile anecdotes of specific individuals who would (or do) thrive outside of paid work. And, for the purpose of the present argument, there is no need to demonstrate that all or even most individuals would engage in socially valuable activities outside of paid work. Plausibly, even with a UBI, most individuals would choose to remain in paid employment. To make the case for the advantage of a UBI to a JG, we need only to show that some individuals (and, in turn, society) would benefit tremendously if liberated from the need for work for money–as we’ve done.
It is worth pointing out, though, that the Thompson’s Atlantic article goes much farther than Davenport and Kirby’s comments would suggest–and it goes much farther, specifically, in exploring and describing a multitude of creative recreational activities performed by individuals outside of paid work. Indeed, Thompson states that one of his objectives in the article is to envision “how millions of people might find meaningful work without formal wages”. He accepts that it’s possible for people to “meaningful work without wages”. Moreover, he investigates what such meaningful work might be–visiting locations such as the Columbus Idea Foundry, a large “makerspace” (right next door to my own neighborhood, as it happens).
It’s worth reading more of Thompson’s own words:
The Internet and the cheap availability of artistic tools have already empowered millions of people to produce culture from their living rooms. People upload more than 400,000 hours of YouTube videos and 350 million new Facebook photos every day. The demise of the formal economy could free many would-be artists, writers, and craftspeople to dedicate their time to creative interests-to live as cultural producers. Such activities offer virtues that many organizational psychologists consider central to satisfaction at work: independence, the chance to develop mastery, and a sense of purpose.
After touring the [Columbus Idea Foundry], I sat at a long table with several members. … I asked them what they thought of their organization as a model for a future where automation reached further into the formal economy. A mixed-media artist named Kate Morgan said that most people she knew at the foundry would quit their jobs and use the foundry to start their own business if they could. Others spoke about the fundamental need to witness the outcome of one’s work, which was satisfied more deeply by craftsmanship than by other jobs they’d held.
Late in the conversation, we were joined by Terry Griner, an engineer who had built miniature steam engines in his garage before Bandar invited him to join the foundry. … “I’ve been working since I was 16. I’ve done food service, restaurant work, hospital work, and computer programming. I’ve done a lot of different jobs,” said Griner. … “But if we had a society that said, ‘We’ll cover your essentials, you can work in the shop,’ I think that would be utopia. That, to me, would be the best of all possible worlds.”
To echo Davenport and Kirby: So much for just sleeping, watching TV, and surfing the web.
3. UBI for Workers
I believe that the proponent of UBI can hardly underemphasize the need to liberate individuals from stifling, unengaging, and unnecessary jobs. At the same time, however, it’s important not to lose sight of the fact that the choice between JG and UBI is not a choice between “jobs and fewer jobs”. A UBI per se does not entail that individuals will stop working: it merely enables this possibility. A UBI does not harm those who are already happy in their jobs. Indeed, far from discouraging paid employment, UBI carries the advantage of avoiding the “welfare trap”: individuals do not lose the benefit when they assume a job or wage increase. (Indeed, this is a major reason that countries like Finland are seriously exploring the implementation of UBI.)
And we could add that there might be advantages of a UBI over a JG even when limiting our attention to those who do prefer to work in traditional jobs. A UBI would benefit anyone who feels trapped in a job that is a poor match for their personality, interests, and capabilities–even those would prefer to remain in full-time employment (but simply not in their current ill-fit jobs). With a guaranteed unconditional income, one could take away from full-time employment in order to retrain, further their education, start a private business, or pursue other such opportunities. A basic income provides a financial floor to enable individuals to switch jobs and careers–and even to execute the retraining that Davenport and Kirby recommend to cope with the age of automation!
A job guarantee provides jobs. A basic income, however, provides individuals with the financial security necessary to temporarily abstain from employment while retraining or searching for a job that is a good match to their interests and capabilities.
4. A Critical Caveat
There is, though, one caveat–which I’ll take up in my third and final installment. We must concede that there is something that UBI doesn’t guarantee that JG does: jobs.
Under a UBI, without a JG, there is no guarantee that sufficient jobs will even exist for all individuals–and even if there are sufficient jobs, a UBI alone does not enable individuals to access those jobs. A UBI does not provide social networks, cultural or linguistic capital, resumé-writing or interviewing skills, or self-marketing abilities. A UBI does not overturn implicit biases in hiring. A UBI does not guarantee that jobs are located where job-seekers live, or that job-seekers have the training and credentials needed to obtain a job. And so on.
A UBI program is likely to treat individuals as self-reliant–left to their own devices to find a job (or not)–in contrast to a JG program, which would bring along services to ensure that individuals are provided with jobs. Quite likely, one fear of Davenport and Kirby is that a UBI, but not JG, would result in many individuals who desire jobs but have difficulty in finding or obtaining them. While UBI might not prohibit individuals from taking up employment, it also does nothing to guarantee jobs to those who want them.
Perhaps, then, there is one category of individuals who stands to benefit more from a JG than from a UBI: those who are not employed, and who are looking for entry into a traditional job.
My hope, as broached in my last feature, is that UBI would usher in the attenuation of the job-culture. But it would not be immediate. At present, many (perhaps most) people have internalized the job-ethic. At present, unemployment does bear a stigma. And many people lack the training, motivation, or desire to start a small business or become independent artists, craftspersons, researchers, or software developers. Plausibly, there are many unemployed individuals who just want a job to provide their lives with purpose, dignity, structure, and a sense of social contribution. And we must not simply assume, without evidence, that such individuals would not be satisfied with the sort of “make-work” position created by a JG (which, after all, could be a truly important one, such as repairing our failing infrastructure).
It’s important that UBI advocates do not overlook this category of individuals: those who would prefer guaranteed employment (even in a government-created job) to guaranteed income.
But how many such individuals actually exist? And how would they fare under under a UBI? Is the solution a UBI plus a JG or other policy? Are other compromise positions available?
These are important concerns, which I plan to address in future work.
Davenport and Kirby: Full Bibliographical Entries
Thomas H. Davenport and Julia Kirby (2016) Only Humans Need Apply: Winners & Losers in the Age of Smart Machines, HarperCollins Publishers.
Tom Davenport and Julia Kirby (May 26, 2016) “What Governments Can Do When Robots Take Our Jobs“, Fortune Magazine (and reprinted in Yahoo Finance).
Reviewed by Tyler Prochazka
Featured Image CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 San Francisco Public Library
Thanks to Kate’s supporters on Patreon
This sounds good until you work out the numbers. Lack of enthusiasm for an individual tapering income, lack of support for apt tax reform to give the idea financial desirability and advocating high income taxes are telltale signs. This form of basic income is not designed as a poverty relief mechanism[1], rather a political ideology and budget necessity. It is unwise economic doctrine that may undermine real poverty elimination efforts. This flavor of UBI may very well evolve into JG that must be satisfied by quota and assigned,… for the common economic good.
Example: A full basic income (1000€/month) in Finland requires a 60% income tax rate[2]. Rather than ruling this option out, consideration is being given to dispersing fewer monies for the poor((560€/month) to achieve a 43% tax rate (due to budget constraints) and push the ideology. Even though Finns overwhelmingly chose NIT, which is less expensive and similar in form to an individual tapering income, the powers that be have deemed that it is too much work to test at this time. By this decision, additional taxpayer funding may be necessary to test NIT or an individual tapering income in the future.
There are also rumblings around the world about imposing global taxes and more global governing institutions that override laws of local governments that further distance citizens from influencing political policy. Wealth-extracting programs, fostered by advanced economies in the north, like CAFTA, NAFTA, TPP, TTIP and CETA, as well as regime change policies in the name of democracy, add fuel to the sentiment for this mindset. It is a sad affair because basic income holds out the promise of becoming an economic proposition that helps spread prosperity, eliminates poverty and lessens income inequality through apt tax reform[3].
Now I begin to see the evidence and understand the economic justification for the UK to leave the EU and the importance of preserving precedents as common law. BREXIT was not a triumph of politics over economics, it was in concert with politico-economic freedom.
[1] Kela director: Finland’s system of social benefits is unsustainable | YLE | 2016
[2] From idea to experiment. Report on universal basic income experiment in Finland | Kela | 2016
[3] APT TAX | Youtube
I think both the JG and UBI are fantastic ideas. UBI is the best starting point though.
If the government suddeny offered a JG then they would need to set up a huge contoversial program which would distort the market and what would the pay be? Would the labour compete with unions for government projects? I could see how a JG program could help pay for some hugely needed infrastructure projects more cheaply
A job guarantee would be an excellent way of tapping a huge liquid market for labour. Especially all the people that would like to work more, but can’t because of all the hassle involved by the employer and the worker. Maybe they could re-purpose the social workers dispaced by UBI into a JG program. It may also discourage the underground economy from increasing.
UBI then JG would be the ultimate solution to improve the system, and capture people’s motivation to work more (which many underemployed workers have)
UBI is the essential first step because a JG would be overwhelmed in this day and age and would be way too controversial for unions and labour laws etc.
Our systems really need a complete overhaul to match the current economy. Hopefully our politicians are working hard to find the best solution.
One of the problems in our current system is that people can spend an enormous amount of time just securing a job. Screening, applying, etc. and depending upon the number of applicants there may be a very miniscule chance of getting the job.
Since just getting a job is so much work, many people just get discouraged and stay on unemplyment or other support than make more un-productive effort.
If the government stepped in to provide a JG then we need to fix this problem first.
I think the best way to begin fixing this is to make some new regulations for websites jobs boards and employers that they must show the number of applicants or the estimated pay range, and the working hours. (The government demands that we prove availability to work when collecting UI) shouldn’t you be able to gauge the availibility of a job? This would also help put to rest the argument that there is a shortage of talent so a company is allowed to bring in foreign labor. With this, the government could direct people to jobs in demand, and actually track what is happening in the job market so that they don’t need to force people to apply or cut off UI benefits early or late.
Currently some employers, because there is a surplus of available labour simply waste earnest job-seekers time by posting ads when they may have a job later, or posting a job just to bring people into the store. Some don’t even post online, because they fear the deluge of resumes that will pile in.
After implementing UBI, we can actally find out people’s marginal propensity to work instead of their marginal propensity to survive.
It might be worth noting that when I write pieces like this and its predecessor, I am motivated, in large part, simply by the need for catharsis.
Sometimes that need arises when you perform considerable amounts of demanding but unpaid labor for organizations like BIEN–in lieu of a full-time “real” job–at the same time as you are confronted with opponents who want to tell you how great it is to have a traditional full-time job.
Although cast in the guise of arguments, these pieces are really very personal ones… But I hope that others at least find them provocative.
The autism point stuck me fairly hard. People tell me all the time that I am autistic but I’ve never been checked. I don’t need another disability slowing me down in life. Thanks to a back injury my options have become fairly limited though so I just might end up stuck in the welfare system anyway. The reason for pseudonym is to limit perspective employers’ chances of finding out about my health issues. I limit my social media exposure for the same reason.
The basic outline for UBI occurred to me in 2001(only 60ish years after Juliet Rhys-Williams) while I was working in the training department of a call center in a poor neighborhood. We had a problem with employees actively trying to get fired despite the good entry level pay for those with limited skills. After some digging I discovered that a major reason employees would look to get fired is they were in danger of losing their means tested welfare. The obvious first question I asked myself was, if means testing creates poverty traps why do we bother wasting resources on them in the first place? It was only after the stenosis got so bad that I couldn’t reliably walk on rainy(or snowy days) that I had time to investigate the matter further. UBI appears to be the perfect solution as long as we can pay for it. I have thoughts on that as well but I will save that for another time.
My question on this series is where can I find more information about how the guaranteed jobs program is supposed to work? If it is in the video I will find out tomorrow when I can have sound. The SO is asleep and my headphones broke. I have no desire to buy the book because at first glance it seems like a terrible idea. My initial reaction is that GJ is another name for workfare. Anyone that thinks the idea through will soon realize that if the government is providing a job with a living wage, say $15/hr, that has to be available to any worker this will severely harm the labor markets. Because there is no risk of not having a job the worker will do the least amount of work possible. This means that employers will have to pay a hefty premium above the government job rate. The fry cook will expect $20/hr or more just to deal with the hassle of having to do a relatively undesirable job. This will push inflation to unacceptable levels.
I look forward to the third installment. Although I have been using a BIEN article on the Namibia trial as a citation for months tonight was the first time I fully explored this site. While I don’t agree with everything I’ve read, helicopter money should only be used during severe economic downturns to prevent high inflation, it appears that we are working towards the same basic goal.
After watching the video I did not gain any additional insights into GJ.
I agree. Automation creates wealth that bypasses the masses. The question has always been, how do we get money to the masses. In basic terms, the answer is always create a problem. Crime, war, prison, regulation, inificiency and fake emergencies are the basics.
Universal Basic Income relieves the need of calamity. Why create jobs? We have the capacity to create much more than we can use with much less of a work force.
Thanks for sharing your insights.
I learned a lot from your article.
I agree. I favor JG as well. I don’t know how to do the Math for it, but i know it is worth it.